The only issue with him this week is a lack of experience at TPC Scottsdale. Tony FinauandWill Zalatorisboth sit a little further down the leaderboard, particularly Will, but both have sensational R3 scoring averages very close to Scottie's, which we are hoping to capitalize on tomorrow. His game is trending in the right direction, and Im expecting a good week for the Northern Irishman. It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. First-bet offers not valid in Ohio. Jon Rahm sits at the top of the leaderboard once >record scratch< . he actually played really badly today for the first time in what feels like eternity and those of us who played Rory instead of Rahm (30% of us - woof) finally reaped the rewardskinda. Sign up today or log in to your account to get closer to the action on the course! Sadom Kaewkanjana(+550 for a Top 40) Youre familiar with his fellow countrymen, Jazz Janewattananond and PGA TOUR member Kiradech Aphibarnrat, but this 23-year-old currently is Thailands top talent at 118th in the Official World Golf Ranking. The message was that hes balanced and playing well upon arrival. Now just three months from his 32nd birthday, the native of Seoul, South Korea, is making his PGA Championship debut as the fifth-best golfer from his homeland (at 115th in the Official World Golf Ranking). The general logic to showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. Good luck this week, and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!! Hes followed by Scottie Scheffler with a 7.69% implied probability and then Xander Schauffele at 5.58%. Jon Rahmhad a bit of a meltdown today on his second nine, but we can expect the Spaniard to return to the form he has displayed so consistently throughout the season. That was the first event worldwide since last summer in which the No. ET (ESPN3). 19+ in Ontario. The American Express Sleepers Tom Hoge +4000 Odds to Win Hoge is one of the most underrated players on the PGA Tour. Hes also 6-for-8 on the PGA TOUR, including a 3-for-4 in the majors. First-bet offers not valid in Ohio. Dahmen captured his first PGA Tour win at the 2021 Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship in March, and he finished T10 in last years PGA Championship. , followed by my betting card for the week. The 26-year-old from England took the title at the Soudal Open in Belgium on Sunday. For live odds, visit BetMGM. your golf bets? Hochberg: Collin Morikawa is 30-1. Big whoop. ). I still have faith the 20 Masters was the start of it, and it will pick up at the 21 PGA Championship. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win. If he can give us a complete round, we will be looking good in this range. That was the first event worldwide since last summer in which the No. Ill stop typing for a second to relax my tiny neck as it struggles to hold my giant head. GOLF.COM may earn a fee. , followed by my betting card for the week. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis. This is the week he climbs the mountain. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. Not only is the Genesis Invitational played at Riviera Country Club, one of the most elite courses in the country, but its a designated event, so all the top players on the PGA Tour are in the field, including tournament host Tiger Woods. The last time we entered a seaside major championship where everything hinged on a stiff breeze, Gary Woodland won by three strokes. Like what you read today? already this season, including two designated events. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. Round 2 Strategy. Lee +19000J.J. These are tough to figure out and give most players fits. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? Byron Lindeque - Keegan Bradley 6. One of these golfers will score close to 40 points, giving our lineups a boost and freeing up salary to load up a few more reliable, higher-upside studs at the top of the slate. , they are back this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational from Arnold Palmers Bay Hill Club & Lodge just outside Orlando. Over the last 10 years, Dustin Johnson is the only player with odds shorter than +2500 to win the tournament. Please Gamble Responsibly. He also leads in par-5 scoring, par breakers and scrambling. Mark Hubbard (+350 for a Top 20) You can go down whatever rabbit hole you find and youre unlikely to surface video of a snail taming a bear, much less a story of an encounter. OK, lets continue. Scottie Schefflermade a massive move up the leaderboard last year on Saturday and that is validated by the incredible round 3 scoring average which is the 2nd best on the slate. Hes the tournaments all-time earnings leader, which includes a victory (2020), a T-4 (2022) and a T-7 (2019) in the last four editions. Leverage: A less popular player who played poorly yesterday. Since 2020, he has 17 top-10 finishes, and 12 of them would be on difficult courses. Promotional offers not available in Nevada and New York. The expert also just missed a massive 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. The PGA Tour heads west this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club in Southern California. And so was Jessica Marksbury. Timely putting has been the tangible product of his upturn, but it was laser-like iron play that set the stage for a T19 at PGA National in 2021. He also has eight straight top-10 finishes in events worldwide. Expect him to do so tomorrow. Expert Picks A Change Text Size Written by Staff @PGATOUR How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. For a player of his caliber, +8000 is tremendous value. OK, so thats a lot of animals and a tenuous connection to the free-spirited 33-year-old who has set the snail loose on occasion but is unlikely to make an appearance if his owner remains consistent at PGA National, home of, naturally, The Bear Trap, which has revealed a softer underbelly when Hubbard has appeared. Theegala burst onto the scene a year ago at this event with a T-3 in his tournament debut. The tournament was already the most electric on the PGA Tour, and that bar will be raised even higher this week with more fans in attendance and it being a designated event. In his last five starts, all on his native circuit, hes finished T6, T7, second, second and third. Patrick Cantlayis going to be rather chalky, but his consistency and ability to dominate Par 5s are what will have us eating his chalk. He finished inside the top 10 at this event three of the last four years. Does his best work with his putter. Jon Rahm is predicted to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational with a 13.33% implied probability i.e., the overall chance of a potential outcome in relation to the odds according to betting markets. Now just three months from his 32nd birthday, the native of Seoul, South Korea, is making his PGA Championship debut as the fifth-best golfer from his homeland (at 115th in the Official World Golf Ranking). Ian McNeill's free PGA betting picks. McClure uses his proprietary simulation model to analyze the field and crush his golf picks.. McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. You can too! You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIACwhen purchasing aPGA Premium Pass. I still feel that were bound to get a run in DJs career where he rolls off a few major victories. As good as Morikawa is in so many. Where: Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida. Spencer Aguiar - Will Zalatoris 5. 21 years of age or older to wager. McIlroy said: "If you think of like the four WGC's, you've got the three playoffs events, you've got the CJ Cup, the Zozo. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Will Gordonsits in a similar situation in T53 and is also an explosive golfer who has flashed round-of-the-day potential in less stacked fields before. 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And with live golf betting, the action doesnt stop at the book when the action starts on the course. One of McClure's top one and done picks this week for the Honda Classic is 24-year-old Sungjae Im. Few players have been steadier over the past two months, with no finishes outside of the top 30 in his past eight starts including a runner-up finish at Quail Hollow and a fifth at Innisbrook in his past two starts. Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week. and the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. So at plus money to finish in the top 20, it seems like a no-brainer. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at This PGA is particularly interesting because none of the front runners come in without some extra baggage. The players who are playing will face a difficult test at PGA National. Tiger Woods, Bryson DeChambeau, and Rory McIlroy have won, but so have shorter hitters like Francesco Molinari and Matt Every. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, 7 interesting gear finds inside Tommy Fleetwoods golf bag | Bag Spy, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Every week, we share our. His happy-go-lucky attitude may also work well at the Ocean Course, where being able to roll with the punches can be invaluable. Sleeper pick: Seamus Power, +10,000. Hes an excellent ball striker, so if the wind picks up, that could be in his favor. His R3 scoring is not the best but that is usually because he is around the top of the leaderboard. Chalk: a) A popular player who played okay yesterday, b) A less popular player who played well yesterday. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. The WM Phoenix Open will be played Feb. 9-12 at TPC Scottsdale. To-win: Patrick Reed, +3,500. A wide variety of players have won this event in the past. Hes talked several times before about learning to play in the wind while growing up in blustery Warrnambool, Australia, and he actually prefers a ball flight thats low and that he can work both ways. 1 Jon Rahm, who has already won two of three designated events this year. We will be looking to take advantage of Sungjae Im tomorrow, alongsideKeagan BradleyandJason Day,who will come in much less owned than the Korean. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. Check out all of the sportsbooks and their bonus offers: Our goal is to put out the highest-quality content and tools. There really is just no winning with Rahm it seems. Power limped into the clubhouse but has shown he can get hot at any given moment. With three wins and a runner-up in a span of six weeks late in 2021, he was the Order of Merit leader on the All Thailand Golf Tour. Whether youre a new bettor browsing futures odds for The Masters, a casual fan betting on Rory McIlroy to finish in the top five, a longtime diehard breaking down weather trends in Hawaii, theres something for everyone. He's in the top 10 on tour for greens in regulation,. The Englishman does his best work from tee to green and he scores well on the par 4s, crucial with a dozen dotting PGA National. Im betting that bombing it will matter less than plain old grit. End of the Season Totals: @rotoballer @BettorGolfPod 2017 +54.26 Units2018 +55.88 Units2019 +27.743 Units2020 + 37.015 Units2021 + 68.846 Units2022 +67.485 UnitsTotal Winnings: +311.229 UnitsTotal Outright Wins Since 2017: 36 H2H Totals Inside Thread https://t.co/pNQrSK1rFE. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Kickoff is Saturday at 7 p.m. And when I looked at the 2012 leaderboard and saw three Englishmen in the top six (and Rory McIlroy from Northern Ireland winning), this pick began to look really good to me. He won a major last year, but his game has shown a lot of cracks. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. He popped for a solo third in Mississippi in the fall and has added a pair of top 20s in the last four weeks. Collin Morikawa holds the Wanamaker Trophy after winning last year's PGA Championship. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Sea Dragons vs. Vipers odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.. This was a tough card to put together. As a result, players are just as likely to make birdie as they are bogey. Hes also 4-for-5 in 2023 with a T29 last week at Riviera where he flashed his game in a microcosm. (But maybe sprinkle in a top 10 bet just to make sure. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. Notice the amount of green AM tee times. Rory McIlroy is next in line at 19-2, with defending champion Scottie Scheffler at 11-1. The 2022 Sentry Tournament of Champions is here, and we're back with our PGA Tour expert picks and betting tips for the tournament at Kapalua Resort in Hawaii. section: | slug: 2023-arnold-palmer-invitational-picks-predictions-field-odds-golf-expert-fading-justin-thomas-at-bay-hill | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | He's not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but he's also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. In four events in the 2023 calendar year, his worst finish is T-16 at the American Express. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. Give it to me! He just closed out his second season of the last five as the runner-up on its Order of Merit. If the wind stays home, there are worse bets than Woodland, whos see-sawed a bit of late, but has two top-10s in the past two months. Josh Bennett - Rory McIlroy 4. His third at the RSM Classic, at Sea Island, last fall proved hes comfortable on breezy oceanside courses. Bradley has enjoyed plenty of past success at this event, including finishing inside the top 11 each of the past two years. The top players in my Fantasy National didnt provide much value and/or havent had the best of success at this event. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesn't mean we can't take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. TPC Scottsdale greens are an over-seeded hybrid grass blend and roll pure and true. He shot -2 today and will look to carry that momentum into the weekend. Its also a major, and he rarely struggles in the big ones. To-win: Xander Schauffele, +1,700. This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. The 33-year-old has played well at this event, logging two runner-up finishes (2018 and 2021). Its been exactly one year since his last victory and he just turned 26. Play has been Suspended due to Darkness. We're back at The King's place for the second leg of the Florida swing. FedEx St. Jude Championship picks 2022: Sleepers/Dark Horses we like Caddie: Scott Stallings (130-1, DraftKings) Scott might be the hottest golfer not named Rory without a win right now. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 By Pat Mayo Jan 23, 2022, 5:58pm PST Share 2021: Patrick Reed -14 2020: Marc Leishman -15 2019: Justin Rose -21 Ill take the great putter who doesnt have an ounce of quit. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. This will be even more pronounced in tomorrow's slate, with winds looking to be brutal as the day progresses. Sleeper pick: Shane Lowry, +10,000. Additionally, since 2015, every winner at the event has been a major champion or won The Players Championship. Going into Round 3 . You can only see the picks at SportsLine. Caddies dont matter a ton, except when they do. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential Genesis Invitational Longshot Picks. Jordan Spieth is back to doing Jordan Spieth things, and it feels like this is finally his time to complete the career grand slam. In nine starts this season, he has two top-25 finishes, with his best being a T-11 at The American Express. Before making any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. 1-800-547-6133 (WA). PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Kiawah Island By: Nick Piastowski May 18, 2021 Collin Morikawa holds the Wanamaker Trophy after winning last year's PGA. The major breakthrough happens this week. Meanwhile, Burns and Spieth were No. The tournament was already the most electric on the PGA Tour, and that bar will be raised even higher this week with more fans in attendance and it being a. . You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me. Finau is also playing outstanding golf of late. That said, +5,000 odds for a player six months removed from contending for a PGA three-peat? Joe Nicely - Max Homa 3. To-win: Patrick Reed, +3,500. (Could also be a sleeper at those odds.). 1-800-547-6133 (WA). One shocking pick from McDonald: He is fading Thomas in his first appearance at Bay Hill since 2015. Mid-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays 4. 2023 WM Phoenix Open picks, predictions, field, odds: PGA expert fading Justin Thomas at TPC Scottsdale SportsLine expert Patrick McDonald analyzed the WM Phoenix Open 2023 field and made. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets. Learn the game and know the odds. Going into Round 3, these are the color codes we will be using to identify who we want to target. 20 Shane Lowry - and eight in the top 50. At just over 7,200 yards, the course is average by PGA Tour standards and doesnt favor the longer or shorter hitters. On to the picks. Zalatoris figures to be one of the more popular plays this week, given his success on difficult courses. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. For more on Chirp, click here. Hes also enjoyed a strong 2023, with two top-20 finishes in his last three events. The rough isnt very penalizing, but players must avoid strategically placed water hazards. 1 Jon Rahm, who has already won two of three designated events this year. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Those include Torrey Pines, Muirfield Village, Riviera CC, Winged Foot, The Country Club, Southern Hills, Kiawah Island, Augusta National, and Bay Hill. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the St. Francis vs. Fairleigh Dickinson odds, and make our. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a T66 well back of Strakas championship pace. OK, lets continue. In his second start of 2022, he prevailed at the SMBC Singapore Open and finished second on the Asian Tours OOM (behind Joohyung (Tom) Kim, who finished T17 at last weeks AT&T Byron Nelson after appearing as a Sleeper at +550 for a Top 20). Collin Morikawa wasnt the only winner at last years PGA Championship. Not only is he fresh off a victory at Quail Hollow, hes a former champion at this very venue, and the ultra-long course seems like it will suit him even better (if thats even possible) this time around. Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. To-win: Rory McIlroy, +1,150. Play with trusted, licensed operators. He finished T-13 in 2021. The Arnold Palmer Invitational, a designated event, is March 2-5. Weve come a long way with Rickie that hes now considered a long shot. He has the best odds to win at +650. FanDuel Strategy Nuances (PGA DFS) 2. Think of it as a traffic light with four colors. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, or WY. Hes also in decent form coming off a T6 at the Wells Fargo and a T8 at the Masters over his past three events (although he did miss the cut at the Valspar). Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. He is averaging almost 18-under par in his five stateside events and leads the tour in scoring average. By taking a look at yesterday's ownership, we can get an idea of where people will be willing to go in Round 3 (DK points include finishing position). Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. When youre talented, youre talented. I like a gritty player with a strong short game to win this week, so Patrick Reed immediately grabs my attention. This years PGA Championship tees off Thursday at Kiawah Island. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of over $2,000 for $100 bettors. We, along with members of our staff, have each made a to-win and sleeper bet using odds from DraftKings to help you with your own weekly picks, whether those are for a low-stakes office fantasy league, (legal!) Taking sleeper picks is always a bit risky, but Dahmen should be coming into this week with confidence he can win. Garrick Higgo might not be a familiar name to American fans, but the South African has been one of the hottest golfers in the world this spring. At 7,466 yards, its a longer course by PGA Tour standards, but a variety of players have been able to win in the past. When it came to selecting players to win outright, I weighed having a top-15 finish in a prior edition of the event over my Fantasy National model. It's a smaller PGA Tour field this week, but it's a much larger purse and the field is stacked with stars for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Editor's Note: In addition to PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf, fans can also participate in the PGA Championship's fantasy game this week and win merchandise from Southern Hills. As a result, players will not hit as many fairways as they are used to this week, which will place an emphasis on scrambling and avoiding bogeys. Performance always is relative, but no one has a better scoring average on the JGTO. Given that this tournament caters to the top players, my card is much smaller than usual. The wind is going to get significantly stronger as the day goes on, with potential for two scenarios. That should be something to consider this week, especially given his odds. The winning score at the event over the last seven years has been between -11 and -19. BMW Championship picks 2022: Sleepers/Dark Horses who could win Caddie: Keegan Bradley (100-1, BetMGM) Keegs had it going the last time we were in the Mid-Atlantic at TPC Potomac, nearly winning. follow. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. If you dont pick him to win, be sure to grab him at +450 to top-10. However, it should provide you with a guide to who will be the most owned and how those around them shake out. Trying to predict the weather is starting to seem rather impossible. Rory McIlroy Top 5 Finish + 210 At PointsBet. There are three players in the top 20 of the Official World Golf Rankings - No. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. Each lineup consists. In this space last August, we picked Morikawa to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy, and, if you ask me, it was impressive as Morikawas drive-the-green tee shot on 16 at Harding Park. He has yet to really unleash his true potential this event. 15-time major champion Tiger Woods will also be in the field and making his 40 and 43, respectively. These are the golfers I am gravitating towards, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership. For live odds, visit BetMGM. an app from our parent company that is available in the App Store and at Google Play, 7 things you MUST know to make money on golf betting, Four experts on how to bet on PGA Tour golf like a professional gambler. It is a designated event, which means a star-studded field, including world No. The PGA Championship is a completely different beast, but I have a weird feeling hes going to contend in his first major. I really like the value for all three outright plays. Although hes still on the rise globally, hes no stranger to the brightest lights having made five starts in majors previously.